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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Oz Briefly Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Expect a top of 22°C with isolated showers developing after midday, according to the live forecast above, because a trough is drifting across central Victoria. Keep a light jacket handy and an umbrella for the afternoon.
What will the temperature feel like today?
The live forecast shows a low of 14°C and a high of 22°C. With light northwesterly winds shifting southwesterly later, the morning will be mild, but a cloud band will push in after lunch, dropping the apparent temperature to around 17°C by late afternoon.
Is rain likely and when?
A 40% chance of rain, mainly between 2pm and 8pm, with falls under 1mm unlikely to cause more than a brief shower. The trough is weak, so most suburbs stay dry, but a few light spots are possible along the bay.
Will I need sunscreen today?
Yes. The UV index peaks at 5, which is moderate. If you’re outdoors around midday, apply SPF30+ and wear a hat. The cloud cover later may reduce exposure, but morning sun is still strong enough to burn.
Should I expect strong winds?
No. Winds are light, averaging 15–20 km/h from the north-west, shifting south-west after the shower band arrives. Gusts may reach 30 km/h near the coast, but nothing that would disrupt outdoor plans.
How does today compare with the weekend?
The 10-day forecast shows a dry, sunny Saturday with a high of 24°C, then a cooler Sunday with a possible stray shower. Today’s brief wet spell is the only rain expected for the next few days.
For the full week ahead, check the Melbourne weather page or the 10-day forecast. Return to the Australia weather hub for other capitals.