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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Oz Briefly Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
Daytime maximums across Melbourne’s 14-day outlook range from 18°C to 32°C, with the coolest days early next week and a warm peak around mid-fortnight. Overnight lows sit between 9°C and 18°C, and rain is most likely next Wednesday–Friday.
What does the 14-day forecast show for Melbourne?
The long-range model indicates a fairly typical spring pattern: a few showers on Sunday and Tuesday, then a drier, warmer stretch from Wednesday onwards. Compared to the live forecast above for Sydney, Melbourne’s temperature range is slightly narrower, but the chance of a thunderstorm late in the week is notable. The strongest winds are expected on Monday.
How reliable is a 14-day forecast for Melbourne?
Accuracy drops significantly after day 7. Days 1–7 are generally reliable; days 8–14 should be treated as a trend guide rather than a precise prediction. The Bureau of Meteorology updates its long-range forecast daily.
Will it rain a lot in Melbourne over the next two weeks?
Total rainfall is expected to be near average for late spring – roughly 15–30 mm. Most rain falls on two to three days, with short, light showers rather than prolonged downpours.
What is the best day for outdoor plans?
Mid-fortnight (around day 9–11) looks the sunniest and warmest, with highs near 32°C and light winds. Perfect for a trip to the Melbourne parks or beaches.
Does the 14-day forecast change often for Melbourne?
Yes. The model is updated each day, so check back for the latest. For a more stable near-term picture, use the 10-day forecast which has better skill.